The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2189
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3840

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.34 $

at 1.34

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear) — 1.78 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 217 · buy 0.0700–0.0723
UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) — 2.07 $ +0.73 $ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.0000–0.0568
SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.52 $ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0619

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

16.59 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 2.92 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.18 $ +1.10 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.80 $ +17.13 (+50.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

19.88 $

at 19.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Minimal Wear) — 21.42 $ +1.54 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 22.01 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.1500–0.3036

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

21.11 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1014
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2101

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

16.59 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 2.92 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.18 $ +1.10 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.57 $ +17.79 (+30.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

42.21 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1010
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2094

Steam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.070000–0.070036
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

souvenirSteam

×7

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

14.51 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 2.92 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.18 $ +1.10 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.74 $ +21.05 (+26.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0513
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0693

souvenirSteam

×6

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

12.44 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 2.92 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.18 $ +1.10 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.48 $ +23.73 (+23.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0512
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0692

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

148.38 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0675

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Goo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.33 $

at 1.33

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) — 1.34 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0700–0.0891
SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) — 1.35 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear) — 1.78 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 217 · buy 0.0700–0.0867

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2.07 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 2.92 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.18 $ +1.10 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.81 $ +4.11 (+1.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

float up to 0.059701

25.44 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.041790

39.20 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.80 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.047761

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.032835

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.00 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build