The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

91.07 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

14.01 $

at 14.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) — 15.92 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) — 22.15 $ +8.14 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.08 $ +31.64 (+30.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

60.71 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0124
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

56.05 $

at 14.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) — 15.92 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) — 22.15 $ +8.14 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.76 $ +10.77 (+9.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

70.83 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0115
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

42.03 $

at 14.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) — 15.92 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) — 22.15 $ +8.14 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 112.86 $ +17.73 (+15.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

80.95 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

28.02 $

at 14.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) — 15.92 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) — 22.15 $ +8.14 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.97 $ +24.69 (+22.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −79 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

40.47 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.41 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 7.65 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Minimal Wear) — 8.96 $ +1.55 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0746

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

70.06 $

at 14.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) — 15.92 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) — 22.15 $ +8.14 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.94 $ +3.47 (+2.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

76.06 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

74.02 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332.17 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

71.86 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Falak

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

179.19 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.57 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3370261 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 33.00$ · invest 104.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −18 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005571 instead of 0.005750
Craft 3370157 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 32.34$ · invest 114.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ marketplace price rare inputs

M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004181 instead of 0.005750
Craft 3369365 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 32.14$ · invest 120.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.005750
Craft 3370382 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 31.26$ · invest 103.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New)
Craft 3370293 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 30.86$ · invest 109.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005750
Craft 3370139 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 29.96$ · invest 106.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build