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The Breakout Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.87₽

Invest 139.22₽

Average return 143.09₽

ROI +2.8%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 350.93 ₽, profit at most −207.83 ₽

float premium: at least 198 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

32.39 ₽

at 32.39

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) — 40.41 ₽ +8.02 ₽ per item · on the market 285 · buy 0.0700–0.0793
P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested) — 42.10 ₽ +9.71 ₽ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.1500–0.1586
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) — 42.12 ₽ +9.73 ₽ per item · on the market 492 · buy 0.0000–0.0634

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1768

106.83 ₽

at 11.87

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested) — 13.70 ₽ +1.83 ₽ per item · on the market 899 · buy 0.1500–0.1768
M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) — 40.89 ₽ +29.02 ₽ per item · on the market 978 · buy 0.0700–0.1060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.22 ₽ +3.87 (+2.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

157.81 ₽ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

188.40 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

185.18 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

289.23 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

238.32 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −22.34 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4.16 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3386775 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 3.85₽ · invest 136.89₽
MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166666 instead of 0.176816

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build