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The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −922.38₸

Invest at least 1 564.24₸

Average return 641.80₸

ROI −59.0%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 1 564.24 ₸, profit at most −922.38 ₸

float premium: at least 867 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1749

187.39 ₸

at 187.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) — 209.88 ₸ +22.50 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0874
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) — 390.47 ₸ +203.08 ₸ per item · on the market 152 · buy 0.0000–0.0699
StatTrak™ MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) — 413.98 ₸ +226.59 ₸ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0700–0.0874

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1749

440.86 ₸

at 48.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 49.49 ₸ +0.51 ₸ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.1574
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1749
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 65.91 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1749

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 628.25 ₸ +13.55 (+2.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099749

930.31 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139824

791.96 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

376.80 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166345

362.18 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

805.96 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 285.97 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

1 166.06 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1 660.01 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 887.73 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −70.07 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −8.04 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388198 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14.23₸ · invest 617.84₸
StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167808 instead of 0.174999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build