The Breakout Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×6

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

20.57 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0026
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1616
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0808
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1131

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.08 $ +38.61 (+154.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

5.64 $

at 2.82

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 3.43 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 361 · buy 0.0000–0.0300
Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0225
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0375

Steam

×5

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

17.14 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

3.38 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0823
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1152

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.17 $ +32.23 (+123.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3.43 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0029
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1628
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0814
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1139

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

37.28 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.22 $ +44.97 (+99.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×2

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

6.86 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0095

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1625
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0812
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1137

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

29.83 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.19 $ +43.70 (+106.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

11.28 $

at 2.82

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 3.43 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 361 · buy 0.0000–0.0297
Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0222
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

×4

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

13.71 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

×1

MP7 | Powercore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

1.12 $

at 1.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.13 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.1500–0.2029
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.2029
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.38 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.1014

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

1.13 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1136

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.24 $ +25.86 (+94.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

26.85 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64.39 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

55.39 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

34.93 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

275.49 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

19.01 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3390443 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 39.42$ · invest 16.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162269 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3391071 · The Gamma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 36.22$ · invest 21.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3394093 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 35.01$ · invest 16.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3389579 · The Gallery Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 33.69$ · invest 21.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165540 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3387964 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 32.83$ · invest 14.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3394116 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 32.30$ · invest 20.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3382442 · The Clutch Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 31.98$ · invest 15.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3393920 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 31.90$ · invest 13.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.161675
Craft 3383737 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 29.57$ · invest 16.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −5 $

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build