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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 791.21₴

Invest at least 5 719.30₴

Average return 2 928.09₴

ROI −48.8%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 5 719.30 ₴, profit at most −2 791.21 ₴

float premium: at least 3 149 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

888.42 ₴

at 888.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 1 475.73 ₴ +587.30 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0496
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 1 628.44 ₴ +740.02 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1159

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

155.58 ₴

at 155.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) — 172.45 ₴ +16.88 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) — 229.73 ₴ +74.15 ₴ per item · on the market 228 · buy 0.1500–0.3077

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1 337.55 ₴

at 167.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 190.14 ₴ +22.95 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 421.57 ₴ +254.38 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 381.55 ₴ +546.54 (+22.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −398 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1 776.85 ₴

at 888.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 1 475.73 ₴ +587.30 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0496
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 1 628.44 ₴ +740.02 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1159

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

155.58 ₴

at 155.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) — 172.45 ₴ +16.88 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) — 229.73 ₴ +74.15 ₴ per item · on the market 228 · buy 0.1500–0.3077

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1 170.36 ₴

at 167.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 190.14 ₴ +22.95 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 421.57 ₴ +254.38 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 102.78 ₴ +434.12 (+14.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −926 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

2 665.27 ₴

at 888.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 1 475.73 ₴ +587.30 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0496
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 1 628.44 ₴ +740.02 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1159

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

155.58 ₴

at 155.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) — 172.45 ₴ +16.88 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) — 229.73 ₴ +74.15 ₴ per item · on the market 228 · buy 0.1500–0.3077

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1 003.16 ₴

at 167.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 190.14 ₴ +22.95 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 421.57 ₴ +254.38 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 824.01 ₴ +321.69 (+8.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 454 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

3 553.69 ₴

at 888.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 1 475.73 ₴ +587.30 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0496
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 1 628.44 ₴ +740.02 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1159

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

155.58 ₴

at 155.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) — 172.45 ₴ +16.88 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) — 229.73 ₴ +74.15 ₴ per item · on the market 228 · buy 0.1500–0.3077

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

835.97 ₴

at 167.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 190.14 ₴ +22.95 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 421.57 ₴ +254.38 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 545.24 ₴ +209.27 (+4.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 983 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

4 442.11 ₴

at 888.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 1 475.73 ₴ +587.30 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0496
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 1 628.44 ₴ +740.02 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1159

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

155.58 ₴

at 155.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) — 172.45 ₴ +16.88 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) — 229.73 ₴ +74.15 ₴ per item · on the market 228 · buy 0.1500–0.3077

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

668.78 ₴

at 167.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 190.14 ₴ +22.95 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 421.57 ₴ +254.38 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 266.47 ₴ +96.85 (+1.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

1 382.68 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 951.67 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093749

9 566.47 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.172499

9 770.43 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 only The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +69.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +442.74 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3399061 · The Revolution Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 596.78₴ · invest 1 984.84₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384885 instead of 0.384742; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166052 instead of 0.165584
Craft 3399164 · The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 584.83₴ · invest 1 712.43₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384148 instead of 0.384742; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163629 instead of 0.165584
Craft 3390719 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 578.40₴ · invest 1 998.42₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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