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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −31 170.00₽

Invest at least 55 481.59₽

Average return 24 311.58₽

ROI −56.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 55 481.59 ₽, profit at most −31 170.00 ₽

float premium: at least 31 832 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3 027.72 ₽ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 269 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2 403.29 ₽

at 2 403.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 614.48 ₽ +211.19 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0223
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 4 990.00 ₽ +2 586.71 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0522

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

15 686.88 ₽

at 2 614.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 3 473.25 ₽ +858.77 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0135
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 4 990.00 ₽ +2 375.52 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

4 830.27 ₽

at 1 610.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 2 975.23 ₽ +1 365.14 ₽ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1742
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 4 146.68 ₽ +2 536.59 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1161

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 920.44 ₽ +1 391.14 (+6.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 728 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

2 614.48 ₽

at 2 614.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 3 473.25 ₽ +858.77 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0172
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 4 990.00 ₽ +2 375.52 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

28 833.52 ₽

at 3 604.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 4 832.14 ₽ +1 227.95 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0916
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 6 944.06 ₽ +3 339.87 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0539

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

6 944.06 ₽

at 6 944.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 8 557.10 ₽ +1 613.04 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 16 091.72 ₽ +9 147.66 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0268

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38 392.06 ₽ +1 253.87 (+3.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 783 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

13 072.40 ₽

at 2 614.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 3 473.25 ₽ +858.77 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0159
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 4 990.00 ₽ +2 375.52 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

3 220.18 ₽

at 1 610.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 2 975.23 ₽ +1 365.14 ₽ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1765
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 4 146.68 ₽ +2 536.59 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1178

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10 812.57 ₽

at 3 604.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 4 832.14 ₽ +1 227.95 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0912
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 6 944.06 ₽ +3 339.87 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 105.15 ₽ +2 317.88 (+8.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 734 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5 228.96 ₽

at 2 614.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 3 473.25 ₽ +858.77 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0154
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 4 990.00 ₽ +2 375.52 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0107

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

28 833.52 ₽

at 3 604.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 4 832.14 ₽ +1 227.95 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0911
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 6 944.06 ₽ +3 339.87 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34 062.48 ₽ +3 027.72 (+8.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 135 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

15 686.88 ₽

at 2 614.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 3 473.25 ₽ +858.77 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0126
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 4 990.00 ₽ +2 375.52 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

4 830.27 ₽

at 1 610.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 2 975.23 ₽ +1 365.14 ₽ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1734
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 4 146.68 ₽ +2 536.59 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1155

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

3 604.19 ₽

at 3 604.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 4 832.14 ₽ +1 227.95 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0902
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 6 944.06 ₽ +3 339.87 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0528

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 121.34 ₽ +2 745.97 (+11.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

17 714.82 ₽ 35.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

20 567.32 ₽ 35.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 419.60 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 644.20 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 572.56 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 118.58 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build