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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −86.48₴

Invest at least 270.96₴

Average return 184.47₴

ROI −31.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 270.96 ₴, profit at most −86.48 ₴

float premium: at least 149 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4889

91.44 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1200
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0889

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

14.11 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) — 16.71 ₴ +2.60 ₴ per item · on the market 260 · buy 0.1500–0.1747
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Field-Tested) — 18.12 ₴ +4.02 ₴ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.1500–0.1662
StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear) — 21.95 ₴ +7.85 ₴ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0700–0.0831

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.55 ₴ +78.93 (+74.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 8 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4876

81.28 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0730
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1183
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0876

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

28.21 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) — 16.71 ₴ +2.60 ₴ per item · on the market 260 · buy 0.1500–0.1743
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Field-Tested) — 18.12 ₴ +4.02 ₴ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.1500–0.1657
StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear) — 21.95 ₴ +7.85 ₴ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0700–0.0828

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.49 ₴ +74.66 (+68.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 7 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4861

71.12 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0717
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1162
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0861

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

42.32 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) — 16.71 ₴ +2.60 ₴ per item · on the market 260 · buy 0.1500–0.1738
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Field-Tested) — 18.12 ₴ +4.02 ₴ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear) — 21.95 ₴ +7.85 ₴ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0700–0.0825

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.44 ₴ +70.39 (+62.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4842

60.96 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1137
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0842

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

56.42 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) — 16.71 ₴ +2.60 ₴ per item · on the market 260 · buy 0.1500–0.1732
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Field-Tested) — 18.12 ₴ +4.02 ₴ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear) — 21.95 ₴ +7.85 ₴ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0700–0.0821

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.38 ₴ +66.11 (+56.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4833

20.32 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1124
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 29.26 ₴ +19.10 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0721

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

98.74 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) — 16.71 ₴ +2.60 ₴ per item · on the market 260 · buy 0.1500–0.1729
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Field-Tested) — 18.12 ₴ +4.02 ₴ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.1500–0.1639
StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear) — 21.95 ₴ +7.85 ₴ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0700–0.0819

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

23.40 ₴

at 23.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) — 29.26 ₴ +5.86 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1061
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Minimal Wear) — 37.82 ₴ +14.42 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) — 39.21 ₴ +15.80 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.46 ₴ +39.74 (+27.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

108.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

173.37 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

317.78 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.064499

249.83 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

212.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098999

183.88 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

341.74 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

119.64 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

246.66 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

151.95 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +48.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +73.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380460 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 86.85₴ · invest 111.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478936 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3380723 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 86.78₴ · invest 108.06₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477934 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3380826 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 86.58₴ · invest 124.36₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486237 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3380897 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 86.15₴ · invest 116.60₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488925 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3381058 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 85.56₴ · invest 109.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478415 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3380955 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 83.49₴ · invest 109.20₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3381157 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 83.11₴ · invest 109.20₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3380724 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 82.47₴ · invest 108.06₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3381136 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 81.29₴ · invest 130.45₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.487162 instead of 0.488915
Craft 3380461 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 78.71₴ · invest 111.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482429 instead of 0.488915

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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