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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −219.88₴

Invest at least 492.68₴

Average return 272.80₴

ROI −44.6%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 492.68 ₴, profit at most −219.88 ₴

float premium: at least 292 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +65.40 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4882

67.37 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +1.44 ₴ per item · on the market 529 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 18.72 ₴ +1.88 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1190

Steam

×4

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

92.12 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

52.26 ₴

at 26.13

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 32.17 ₴ +6.05 ₴ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0146
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 34.98 ₴ +8.86 ₴ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0164
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 182.60 ₴ +156.48 ₴ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1219

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 211.75 ₴ +61.06 (+28.8%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

SG 553 | Atlas

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0808

112.47 ₴

at 18.75

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) — 16.84 ₴ cheaper by 1.90 ₴ · on the market 469 · buy 0.4500–0.4598
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) — 23.03 ₴ +4.28 ₴ per item · on the market 334 · buy 0.0000–0.0499
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +5.83 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0519

Steam

×3

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

69.09 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0098
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0808

26.13 ₴

at 26.13

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 32.17 ₴ +6.05 ₴ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0176
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 34.98 ₴ +8.86 ₴ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0198
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 182.60 ₴ +156.48 ₴ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 207.69 ₴ +65.40 (+31.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4887

50.53 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +1.44 ₴ per item · on the market 529 · buy 0.0700–0.0739
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 18.72 ₴ +1.88 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1197

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

182.90 ₴

at 26.13

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 32.17 ₴ +6.05 ₴ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0146
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 34.98 ₴ +8.86 ₴ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0164
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 182.60 ₴ +156.48 ₴ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1219

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.43 ₴ +37.96 (+16.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4853

33.69 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +1.44 ₴ per item · on the market 529 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 18.72 ₴ +1.88 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0739
SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1152

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

22.61 ₴

at 22.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 26.53 ₴ +3.92 ₴ per item · on the market 148 · buy 0.0700–0.0737
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 28.67 ₴ +6.06 ₴ per item · on the market 507 · buy 0.1500–0.1983
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 32.17 ₴ +9.56 ₴ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0655

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

182.90 ₴

at 26.13

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 32.17 ₴ +6.05 ₴ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 34.98 ₴ +8.86 ₴ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0161
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 182.60 ₴ +156.48 ₴ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1215

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 239.19 ₴ +31.91 (+13.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4848

67.37 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +1.44 ₴ per item · on the market 529 · buy 0.0700–0.0707
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 18.72 ₴ +1.88 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1145

Steam

×3

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

69.09 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

78.38 ₴

at 26.13

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 32.17 ₴ +6.05 ₴ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 34.98 ₴ +8.86 ₴ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0161
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 182.60 ₴ +156.48 ₴ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1214

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.84 ₴ +57.67 (+26.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.85 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

473.53 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

455.36 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

330.38 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

152.72 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

130.43 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

569.34 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

303.43 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

241.31 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.43 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.91 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380457 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 65.75₴ · invest 214.88₴
rare inputs

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478419 instead of 0.488210; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003617 instead of 0.004863
Craft 3380620 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 57.15₴ · invest 198.93₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479495 instead of 0.488210; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.004863
Craft 3380919 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 56.36₴ · invest 181.92₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478724 instead of 0.488210; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003655 instead of 0.004863
Craft 3377382 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 55.24₴ · invest 201.50₴
FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478419 instead of 0.488210; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003617 instead of 0.004863

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build