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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −92.08₴

Invest at least 294.83₴

Average return 202.74₴

ROI −31.2%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 294.83 ₴, profit at most −92.08 ₴

float premium: at least 166 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +100.89 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4889

91.44 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1200
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0889

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

25.16 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1996
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0664

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.60 ₴ +86.15 (+73.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 8 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4876

81.28 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0730
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1183
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0876

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

50.31 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1992
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0661

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.59 ₴ +89.10 (+67.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4868

10.16 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0723
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1172
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0868

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

201.26 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1989
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0659

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

46.51 ₴

at 46.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 60.47 ₴ +13.96 ₴ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +20.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0144
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 257.55 ₴ +211.04 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1217

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 257.93 ₴ +88.38 (+34.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 7 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4862

71.12 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0718
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1164
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0862

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

75.47 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1987
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0658

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.59 ₴ +92.04 (+62.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4845

60.96 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0704
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1141
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0845

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

100.63 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1981
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0654

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.59 ₴ +94.99 (+58.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

108.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

173.37 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

317.78 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.064499

249.83 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

212.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234999

275.21 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

613.61 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

249.85 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

536.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +52.85 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +80.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380460 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 86.85₴ · invest 111.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478936 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3380723 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 86.78₴ · invest 108.06₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477934 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3380826 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 86.58₴ · invest 124.36₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486237 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3381058 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 85.56₴ · invest 109.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478415 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3380955 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 83.49₴ · invest 109.20₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3381157 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 83.11₴ · invest 109.20₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3380724 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 82.47₴ · invest 108.06₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3381136 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 81.29₴ · invest 130.45₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.487162 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3380622 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 78.93₴ · invest 105.55₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488915 instead of 0.488925
Craft 3380461 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 78.71₴ · invest 111.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482429 instead of 0.488925

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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