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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +5.92$

Invest 138.45$

Average return 144.37$

ROI +4.3%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 346.27 $, profit at most −201.90 $

float premium: at least 204 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

P250 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4876

12.57 $

at 12.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) — 12.96 $ +0.39 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.3800–0.4307
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) — 14.16 $ +1.59 $ per item · on the market 132 · buy 0.1500–0.3316

Steam

×8

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

109.82 $

at 13.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0700–0.0730
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 19.88 $ +6.15 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0000–0.0562

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

16.06 $

at 16.06

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) — 26.04 $ +9.98 $ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.1500–0.1923
AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 40.06 $ +24.01 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.1500–0.2154

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.45 $ +5.92 (+4.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

109.82 $

at 13.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0700–0.0784
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 19.88 $ +6.15 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0000–0.0603

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

32.11 $

at 16.06

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) — 26.04 $ +9.98 $ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.1500–0.1931
AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 40.06 $ +24.01 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.1500–0.2158

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.93 $ +2.29 (+1.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

168.12 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138599

164.27 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.294799

214.30 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

114.69 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 only The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.56 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3376599 · The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 6.40$ · invest 143.46$
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Well-Worn) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build