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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −16 491.91₽

Invest at least 35 713.94₽

Average return 19 222.04₽

ROI −46.2%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 35 713.94 ₽, profit at most −16 491.91 ₽

float premium: at least 19 374 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 831 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

8 991.01 ₽

at 1 284.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 1 352.86 ₽ +68.43 ₽ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1679
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 1 731.38 ₽ +446.95 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0581

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

3 462.76 ₽

at 1 731.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 3 022.86 ₽ +1 291.48 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 6 900.00 ₽ +5 168.62 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1056

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

2 376.93 ₽

at 2 376.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 7 084.06 ₽ +4 707.13 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0829
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 13 522.31 ₽ +11 145.38 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1497

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 830.70 ₽ +4 391.34 (+29.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 357 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

2 568.86 ₽

at 1 284.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 1 352.86 ₽ +68.43 ₽ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1694
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 1 731.38 ₽ +446.95 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0594

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

8 656.90 ₽

at 1 731.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 3 022.86 ₽ +1 291.48 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 6 900.00 ₽ +5 168.62 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1073

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

7 130.79 ₽

at 2 376.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 6 481.12 ₽ +4 104.19 ₽ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1511
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 7 084.06 ₽ +4 707.13 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0853

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 356.55 ₽ +1 920.30 (+10.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 896 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

10 388.28 ₽

at 1 731.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 3 022.86 ₽ +1 291.48 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 6 900.00 ₽ +5 168.62 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1059

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

9 507.72 ₽

at 2 376.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 6 481.12 ₽ +4 104.19 ₽ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.150000–0.150041
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 7 084.06 ₽ +4 707.13 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0834

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 896.00 ₽ +908.26 (+4.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 712 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

6 764.30 ₽

at 1 352.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 1 284.43 ₽ cheaper by 68.43 ₽ · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0719
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 1 731.38 ₽ +378.52 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0554

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

5 194.14 ₽

at 1 731.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 3 022.86 ₽ +1 291.48 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 6 900.00 ₽ +5 168.62 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1052

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

4 753.86 ₽

at 2 376.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 7 084.06 ₽ +4 707.13 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0823
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 13 522.31 ₽ +11 145.38 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1494

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 712.30 ₽ +3 037.14 (+18.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.035353

11 262.07 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 735.58 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237979

45 788.74 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.028282

9 339.26 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 329.26 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 013.34 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380874 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 4 465.63₽ · invest 13 929.98₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 930 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested)
Craft 3381152 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4 463.93₽ · invest 13 868.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 869 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested)
Craft 3376601 · The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 4 461.86₽ · invest 14 027.75₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 363 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested)
Craft 3381334 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 4 242.47₽ · invest 14 753.77₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 754 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build