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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.16$

Invest 2.16$

Average return 2.31$

ROI +7.2%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest 2.40 $, profit −0.09 $

float premium: 0 $ (7.4%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.47 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

42% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈58

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3208

0.18 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 317 · buy 0.1500–0.2673
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Well-Worn) — 0.24 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.3800–0.4466
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.2980

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4320

0.96 $

at 0.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.3800–0.4320
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.3800–0.4320
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.3800–0.4320

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3208

1.01 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3208
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.3208
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.3208

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.16 $ +0.16 (+7.2%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

0.18 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1726
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3083
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1663

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5126

0.90 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5126
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5126
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5126

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

0.76 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1761
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1761
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1761

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.84 $ +0.47 (+25.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1751

0.37 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1717
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3073
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1654

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5100

0.90 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5100
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5100
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5100

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1751

0.51 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1751
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1751
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.77 $ +0.40 (+22.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

0.73 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1699
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3053
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1634

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5051

0.90 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5051
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5051
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.63 $ +0.26 (+15.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4903

0.17 $

at 0.17

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) — 0.19 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 317 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) — 0.20 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 183 · buy 0.4500–0.6085
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

0.73 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1678
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3030
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1611

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4993

0.75 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4993
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.4993
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4993

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.65 $ +0.09 (+5.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3.34 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.93 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4.84 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.99 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Field-Tested

float up to 0.246999

0.70 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

1.29 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

float up to 0.341999

0.88 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.151999

1.86 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

1.27 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3385220 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 2.15$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.433666 instead of 0.432002; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.326333 instead of 0.320866
Craft 3384956 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 2.15$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.433666 instead of 0.432002; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.326333 instead of 0.320866
Craft 3384934 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 2.53$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.430670 instead of 0.432002; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.316487 instead of 0.320866
Craft 3384672 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 0.15$ · invest 2.28$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.431333 instead of 0.432002; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.318666 instead of 0.320866

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build