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The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −212.38₽

Invest at least 570.12₽

Average return 357.75₽

ROI −37.2%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 570.12 ₽, profit at most −212.38 ₽

float premium: at least 315 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +168.08 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

29.40 ₽

at 14.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 19.44 ₽ +4.74 ₽ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1603
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 23.93 ₽ +9.23 ₽ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.2947
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 25.56 ₽ +10.86 ₽ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1529

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

167.51 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0191
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0191
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0229

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

36.11 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1133
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1619

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.02 ₽ +124.73 (+53.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

47.86 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0231
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0231
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0277

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

57.42 ₽

at 57.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 65.00 ₽ +7.58 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0700–0.1081
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +28.52 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.1081
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 270.16 ₽ +212.74 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0865

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

455.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0530
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0348

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 560.28 ₽ +99.08 (+17.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

95.72 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0222
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0222
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0266

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

229.68 ₽

at 57.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 65.00 ₽ +7.58 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0700–0.1076
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +28.52 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.1076
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 270.16 ₽ +212.74 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0861

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

130.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0527
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0346

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 455.40 ₽ +117.78 (+25.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

167.51 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0219
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0219
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0263

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

108.33 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1155
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1651

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 275.84 ₽ +168.08 (+60.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

119.65 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0260

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

72.22 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1154
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

195.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0526
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 386.87 ₽ +143.23 (+37.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

235.11 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

347.34 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

579.68 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

367.71 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

279.45 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

537.00 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 077.13 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

1 865.79 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

627.18 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

179.72 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +70.77 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +108.86 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3383926 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 123.98₽ · invest 241.48₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168675 instead of 0.161905; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168675 instead of 0.161905
Craft 3383728 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 121.88₽ · invest 226.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.161905; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.161905
Craft 3383842 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 116.45₽ · invest 255.24₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.161905; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.161905
Craft 3384222 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 116.38₽ · invest 229.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163811 instead of 0.161905; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163811 instead of 0.161905
Craft 3384189 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 114.52₽ · invest 266.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166326 instead of 0.161905; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166326 instead of 0.161905

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build