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Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₽

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +9 771.41₽

Invest 12 784.00₽

Average return 22 555.41₽

ROI +76.4%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 32 187.09 ₽, profit at most −9 631.68 ₽

float premium: at least 18 707 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 784 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

889.09 ₽

at 889.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 1 399.49 ₽ +510.40 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1211
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 1 600.00 ₽ +710.91 ₽ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

10 636.40 ₽

at 1 329.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 519.00 ₽ +1 189.45 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 2 619.65 ₽ +1 290.10 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1 258.51 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 784.00 ₽ +9 771.41 (+76.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 082 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

9 306.85 ₽

at 1 329.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 519.00 ₽ +1 189.45 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 2 619.65 ₽ +1 290.10 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 775.53 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 082.38 ₽ +8 975.60 (+68.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 962 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

7 977.30 ₽

at 1 329.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 519.00 ₽ +1 189.45 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 2 619.65 ₽ +1 290.10 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

3 775.53 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 209.15 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0164
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0164

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 961.98 ₽ +7 847.29 (+56.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 842 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

6 647.75 ₽

at 1 329.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 519.00 ₽ +1 189.45 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 2 619.65 ₽ +1 290.10 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

3 775.53 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

4 418.30 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0155
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0155

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 841.58 ₽ +6 718.97 (+45.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 721 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5 318.20 ₽

at 1 329.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 519.00 ₽ +1 189.45 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 2 619.65 ₽ +1 290.10 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

3 775.53 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

6 627.45 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0146
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0146

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 721.18 ₽ +5 590.66 (+35.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 263.76 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

7 185.72 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

25 354.50 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

21 374.57 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 391.78 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 531.10 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379128 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 9 937.15₽ · invest 12 723.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 724 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3384283 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 9 687.85₽ · invest 12 802.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 802 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3380368 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 9 667.68₽ · invest 12 725.49₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 725 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383599 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 9 455.96₽ · invest 12 723.26₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 918 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383699 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 9 140.54₽ · invest 12 814.31₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 044 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074289 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.005028

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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