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The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1.33$

Invest at least 3.12$

Average return 1.79$

ROI −42.6%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 3.12 $, profit at most −1.33 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

0.36 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0414
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0247

Steam

×9

P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

0.89 $

at 0.10

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 749 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 678 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.1500–0.1636

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.25 $ +0.54 (+43.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MP9 | Modest Threat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.64 $

at 0.32

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) — 0.33 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 609 · buy 0.0700–0.0892
SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) — 0.33 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 324 · buy 0.0700–0.0973
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 0.36 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 680 · buy 0.1500–0.2253

Steam

×8

P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.80 $

at 0.10

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 749 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 678 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.1500–0.1626

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.44 $ +0.27 (+19.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 72%

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.44 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Liquidation

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.13 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.43 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.38 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.40 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097499

0.88 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

1.09 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

1.27 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

2.00 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Flashback

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

0.84 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3382340 · The Clutch Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 0.54$ · invest 1.24$
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165701 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3392049 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 0.53$ · invest 1.37$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3376846 · The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 0.52$ · invest 1.42$
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165367 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3390991 · The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 0.52$ · invest 1.40$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3392067 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 0.52$ · invest 1.29$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3391839 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 0.50$ · invest 1.31$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165777 instead of 0.163615

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build