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Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +51 405.71₸

Invest 72 066.72₸

Average return 123 472.44₸

ROI +71.3%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 181 385.99 ₸, profit at most −57 913.55 ₸

float premium: at least 105 037 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 736 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

5 000.18 ₸

at 5 000.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 7 870.63 ₸ +2 870.45 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1188
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 8 998.28 ₸ +3 998.10 ₸ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0891

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

59 818.32 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

7 248.23 ₸

at 7 248.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) — 11 450.31 ₸ +4 202.08 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0693
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +13 295.92 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0495

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 066.72 ₸ +51 405.71 (+71.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 862 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

22 431.87 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0119

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

14 496.45 ₸

at 7 248.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 7 999.36 ₸ +751.13 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0733
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +13 295.92 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0523

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

57 251.56 ₸

at 11 450.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 13 887.33 ₸ +2 437.02 ₸ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +9 093.83 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94 179.88 ₸ +635.05 (+0.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 221 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

29 909.16 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

14 496.45 ₸

at 7 248.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 7 999.36 ₸ +751.13 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0730
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +13 295.92 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

45 801.25 ₸

at 11 450.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 13 887.33 ₸ +2 437.02 ₸ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +9 093.83 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90 206.86 ₸ +9 384.31 (+10.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 579 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

37 386.45 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

14 496.45 ₸

at 7 248.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 7 999.36 ₸ +751.13 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0727
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +13 295.92 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0519

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

34 350.94 ₸

at 11 450.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 13 887.33 ₸ +2 437.02 ₸ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +9 093.83 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86 233.84 ₸ +18 133.56 (+21.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 937 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

44 863.74 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

14 496.45 ₸

at 7 248.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 7 999.36 ₸ +751.13 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0725
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +13 295.92 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

22 900.62 ₸

at 11 450.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 13 887.33 ₸ +2 437.02 ₸ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 20 544.14 ₸ +9 093.83 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82 260.82 ₸ +26 882.87 (+32.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

254 560.01 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

40 411.95 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

85 503.74 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

99 614.45 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +44 047.37 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50 478.16 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379128 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 55 885.77₸ · invest 71 557.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 557 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3383454 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 54 953.67₸ · invest 71 896.26₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 896 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3384283 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 54 483.74₸ · invest 71 999.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 999 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3380368 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 54 370.32₸ · invest 71 567.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 567 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3383599 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 53 179.61₸ · invest 71 554.66₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 027 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.003753

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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