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Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₽

The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +123.98₽

Invest 241.48₽

Average return 365.46₽

ROI +51.3%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 588.40 ₽, profit at most −222.93 ₽

float premium: at least 328 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +172.24 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

29.40 ₽

at 14.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 19.44 ₽ +4.74 ₽ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1661
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 23.93 ₽ +9.23 ₽ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3011
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 25.56 ₽ +10.86 ₽ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1593

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

167.51 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0250
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0250
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0300

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

44.57 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2017
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0678

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 241.48 ₽ +123.98 (+51.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

167.51 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0275
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0275
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0330

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

133.71 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2041
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0781
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0694

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 301.22 ₽ +165.85 (+55.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

95.72 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0268
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0268
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0322

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

133.71 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2035
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0776
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0690

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

247.20 ₽

at 82.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +24.74 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0175
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +37.03 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0155
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 456.29 ₽ +373.89 ₽ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1233

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 476.63 ₽ +142.84 (+30.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

71.79 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0265
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0265
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0319

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

133.71 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2032
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0774
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0688

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

329.60 ₽

at 82.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +24.74 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0174
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +37.03 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0155
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 456.29 ₽ +373.89 ₽ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1232

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 535.10 ₽ +135.17 (+25.3%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

14.70 ₽

at 14.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 19.44 ₽ +4.74 ₽ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 23.93 ₽ +9.23 ₽ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3025
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 25.56 ₽ +10.86 ₽ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1606

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

167.51 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0262
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0262
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0315

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

89.14 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2029
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0772
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0686

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 271.35 ₽ +144.91 (+53.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

235.11 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

347.34 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

579.68 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

367.71 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

279.45 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.169999

487.58 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1 087.10 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138888

1 258.46 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.029555

951.19 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +67.47 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +109.50 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3383424 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 124.73₽ · invest 233.02₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161905 instead of 0.168675; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161905 instead of 0.168675
Craft 3383728 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 121.88₽ · invest 226.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.168675; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.168675
Craft 3383842 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 116.45₽ · invest 255.24₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.168675; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.168675
Craft 3384222 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 116.38₽ · invest 229.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163811 instead of 0.168675; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163811 instead of 0.168675
Craft 3384189 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 114.52₽ · invest 266.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166326 instead of 0.168675; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166326 instead of 0.168675

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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