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The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −130.73₴

Invest at least 368.76₴

Average return 238.04₴

ROI −35.5%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 368.76 ₴, profit at most −130.73 ₴

float premium: at least 202 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

80.48 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1636

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

41.81 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0747

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

32.92 ₴

at 32.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) — 45.06 ₴ +12.14 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) — 45.44 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) — 46.23 ₴ +13.30 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2046

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 155.22 ₴ +82.82 (+53.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

23.00 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1702
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1702
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1702

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

83.63 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0770

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

131.70 ₴

at 32.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) — 45.06 ₴ +12.14 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1500–0.2128
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) — 45.44 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.2128
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) — 46.23 ₴ +13.30 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2128

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 238.32 ₴ +69.12 (+29.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

57.49 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1693
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1693
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1693

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

62.72 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

65.85 ₴

at 32.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) — 45.06 ₴ +12.14 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1500–0.2116
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) — 45.44 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.2116
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) — 46.23 ₴ +13.30 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2116

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.06 ₴ +75.11 (+40.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −46 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

11.50 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1653

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

83.63 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

164.62 ₴

at 32.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) — 45.06 ₴ +12.14 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1500–0.2066
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) — 45.44 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.2066
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) — 46.23 ₴ +13.30 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2066

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.75 ₴ +70.83 (+27.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

83.63 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

164.62 ₴

at 32.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) — 45.06 ₴ +12.14 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1500–0.2066
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) — 45.44 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.2066
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) — 46.23 ₴ +13.30 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2066

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

45.06 ₴

at 45.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) — 45.44 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) — 46.23 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Vandal (Field-Tested) — 50.69 ₴ +5.63 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.1653

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 293.31 ₴ +60.41 (+20.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

291.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

165.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

443.11 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

184.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

151.02 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

694.14 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

608.80 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

388.69 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

530.33 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

344.03 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53.91 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +78.39 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3385139 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 82.68₴ · invest 138.09₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested)
Craft 3384932 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 82.38₴ · invest 147.46₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168318 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076371 instead of 0.074763
Craft 3385099 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 79.68₴ · invest 142.12₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074763
Craft 3384982 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 79.20₴ · invest 140.58₴
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Akoben (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162182 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074237 instead of 0.074763
Craft 3385190 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 78.59₴ · invest 140.81₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074763
Craft 3385171 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 77.52₴ · invest 161.31₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165309 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075325 instead of 0.074763

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build