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The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.28$

Invest 4.91$

Average return 5.19$

ROI +5.8%

Chance of profit 42%

With float: invest at least 11.33 $, profit at most −6.14 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1.77 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1642

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.92 $

at 0.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 0.51 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0749

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

2.21 $

at 2.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 3.22 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2083
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 3.60 $ +1.39 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0802
StatTrak™ Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 4.19 $ +1.97 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.2005

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.91 $ +0.28 (+5.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 58%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6.42 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.64 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9.75 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4.06 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.32 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170999

3.68 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170999

22.14 $ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

13.69 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.011999

11.05 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170999

3.15 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build