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Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

prices updated 24.10 13:23 MSK

₸≈

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +48.42₸

Invest 493.56₸

Average return 541.98₸

ROI +9.8%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 1 219.77 ₸, profit at most −677.80 ₸

float premium: at least 583 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +70.86 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1800

326.98 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 39.03 ₸ +2.70 ₸ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1800
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1800

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5219

166.58 ₸

at 166.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +36.50 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +67.37 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.3653
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) — 437.37 ₸ +270.79 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.4500–0.5219

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 493.56 ₸ +48.42 (+9.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

290.64 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 39.03 ₸ +2.70 ₸ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1541
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1712

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

336.42 ₸

at 168.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +34.87 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +65.74 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2705
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 527.07 ₸ +358.86 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3864

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 627.07 ₸ +70.86 (+11.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

254.31 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 39.03 ₸ +2.70 ₸ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1541
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1712

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

336.42 ₸

at 168.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +34.87 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +65.74 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2705
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 527.07 ₸ +358.86 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3864

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

203.08 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1198
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1712

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 793.82 ₸ +60.12 (+7.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

217.98 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 39.03 ₸ +2.70 ₸ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1541
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1712

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

336.42 ₸

at 168.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +34.87 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +65.74 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2705
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 527.07 ₸ +358.86 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3864

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

406.16 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1198
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1712

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 960.57 ₸ +49.32 (+5.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

181.65 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 39.03 ₸ +2.70 ₸ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1541
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1712

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

336.42 ₸

at 168.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +34.87 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +65.74 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2705
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 527.07 ₸ +358.86 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3864

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

609.24 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1198
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1712

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 127.32 ₸ +38.58 (+3.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143571

388.05 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

258.14 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

880.93 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162857

388.05 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

304.20 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

1 755.62 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

769.75 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111428

5 831.95 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

1 820.24 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249285

1 010.73 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −29.64 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.31 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3385690 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 47.29₸ · invest 406.38₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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