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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 333.15₴

Invest at least 12 766.79₴

Average return 6 433.64₴

ROI −49.6%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 12 766.79 ₴, profit at most −6 333.15 ₴

float premium: at least 7 060 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 281 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2 459.33 ₴

at 351.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 357.01 ₴ +5.68 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) — 359.95 ₴ +8.61 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 627.86 ₴

at 813.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 904.10 ₴ +90.18 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) — 907.76 ₴ +93.83 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

1 341.64 ₴

at 1 341.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 3 998.55 ₴ +2 656.91 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 7 632.58 ₴ +6 290.94 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1494

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 428.82 ₴ +1 004.82 (+18.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 494.44 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5 489.68 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

25 845.16 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

5 271.49 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 only The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +841.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build