The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

62.95 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

112.86 ₽

at 12.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 14.27 ₽ +1.73 ₽ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 ₽ +4.95 ₽ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 20.85 ₽ +8.31 ₽ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 175.81 ₽ +46.87 (+26.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

49.07 ₽

at 49.07

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 50.89 ₽ +1.82 ₽ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 62.95 ₽ +13.88 ₽ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +93.03 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

62.95 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

100.32 ₽

at 12.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 14.27 ₽ +1.73 ₽ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 ₽ +4.95 ₽ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 20.85 ₽ +8.31 ₽ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 212.34 ₽ +46.57 (+21.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

98.14 ₽

at 49.07

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 50.89 ₽ +1.82 ₽ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 62.95 ₽ +13.88 ₽ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +93.03 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

62.95 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

87.78 ₽

at 12.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 14.27 ₽ +1.73 ₽ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 ₽ +4.95 ₽ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 20.85 ₽ +8.31 ₽ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.87 ₽ +46.26 (+18.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

147.21 ₽

at 49.07

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 50.89 ₽ +1.82 ₽ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 62.95 ₽ +13.88 ₽ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +93.03 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

62.95 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

75.24 ₽

at 12.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 14.27 ₽ +1.73 ₽ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 ₽ +4.95 ₽ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 20.85 ₽ +8.31 ₽ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 285.40 ₽ +45.96 (+16.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

196.28 ₽

at 49.07

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 50.89 ₽ +1.82 ₽ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 62.95 ₽ +13.88 ₽ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +93.03 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

62.95 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

62.70 ₽

at 12.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 14.27 ₽ +1.73 ₽ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 ₽ +4.95 ₽ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 20.85 ₽ +8.31 ₽ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 321.93 ₽ +45.65 (+14.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

137.95 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

226.83 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

300.91 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

268.61 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

137.84 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

520.11 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 461.11 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

652.14 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

440.40 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

81.32 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.87 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.89 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387838 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 47.66₽ · invest 153.28₽
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3383458 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 46.34₽ · invest 141.61₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3388124 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 45.88₽ · invest 169.86₽
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3388440 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 43.31₽ · invest 144.71₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3377594 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 43.06₽ · invest 158.45₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build

What you get 10 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build