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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −2 488.31₸

Invest 22 033.13₸

Average return 19 544.83₸

ROI −11.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 22 033.13 ₸, profit −2 488.31 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈99

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Well-Worn

any lot

2 034.74 ₸

at 2 034.74

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 2 186.30 ₸ +151.56 ₸ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
MP7 | Nemesis (Field-Tested) — 3 060.09 ₸ +1 025.35 ₸ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3200

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

any lot

17 324.11 ₸

at 1 924.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 2 129.61 ₸ +204.71 ₸ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–1.0000
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 2 213.46 ₸ +288.56 ₸ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–1.0000

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 358.84 ₸ +185.98 (+1.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

22 618.53 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

23 935.37 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

15 081.12 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

15 465.40 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 366.15 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −552.83 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387861 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 199.20₸ · invest 22 779.32₸
rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.688747 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3387976 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 190.10₸ · invest 19 740.15₸
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build