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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −983.46₸

Invest at least 1 740.94₸

Average return 757.49₸

ROI −56.5%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 1 740.94 ₸, profit at most −983.46 ₸

float premium: at least 889 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +184.97 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

203.08 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

288.84 ₸

at 48.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 53.60 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +6.30 ₸ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 60.34 ₸ +12.20 ₸ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

255.44 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 747.36 ₸ +10.12 (+1.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

1 015.40 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

96.28 ₸

at 48.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 53.60 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +6.30 ₸ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 60.34 ₸ +12.20 ₸ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

255.44 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 367.12 ₸ +126.09 (+9.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

812.32 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

144.42 ₸

at 48.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 53.60 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +6.30 ₸ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 60.34 ₸ +12.20 ₸ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

255.44 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 212.18 ₸ +97.13 (+8.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

609.24 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

192.56 ₸

at 48.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 53.60 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +6.30 ₸ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 60.34 ₸ +12.20 ₸ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

255.44 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 057.24 ₸ +68.11 (+6.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

406.16 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 322.93 ₸ +119.85 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 010.73 ₸ +807.65 ₸ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

240.70 ₸

at 48.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 53.60 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +6.30 ₸ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 60.34 ₸ +12.20 ₸ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

255.44 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 902.30 ₸ +39.14 (+4.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

707.60 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

587.93 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

836.45 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

600.47 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

565.60 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

1 755.62 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1 748.37 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072799

5 831.95 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 527.21 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.211399

1 010.73 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −91.22 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5.51 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build