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Crafts · The Falchion Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +31 467.10₸

Invest 96 669.65₸

Average return 128 136.75₸

ROI +32.5%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 233 153.94 ₸, profit at most −105 017.24 ₸

float premium: at least 118 978 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −96 670 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

56 622.13 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

12 424.09 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0159
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0159

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

27 623.43 ₸

at 27 623.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 37 236.35 ₸ +9 612.92 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0880
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 74 999.43 ₸ +47 376.00 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0541

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96 669.65 ₸ +31 467.10 (+32.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −114 238 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

28 311.06 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

49 696.38 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0149
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0149

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

36 230.56 ₸

at 18 115.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 18 526.62 ₸ +411.33 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1688
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 29 914.45 ₸ +11 799.16 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1183

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114 238.01 ₸ +27 774.21 (+24.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −196 421 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

49 696.38 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0141
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0141

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

36 230.56 ₸

at 18 115.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 18 526.62 ₸ +411.33 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1680
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 29 914.45 ₸ +11 799.16 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1177

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

110 493.71 ₸

at 27 623.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 37 236.35 ₸ +9 612.92 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 74 999.43 ₸ +47 376.00 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 196 420.65 ₸ +1 093.63 (+0.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −172 947 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

62 120.47 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0122
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

55 579.85 ₸

at 18 526.62

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 18 115.28 ₸ cheaper by 411.33 ₸ · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.1590
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 29 914.45 ₸ +11 387.83 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1136

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

55 246.86 ₸

at 27 623.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 37 236.35 ₸ +9 612.92 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0868
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 74 999.43 ₸ +47 376.00 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 172 947.18 ₸ +10 691.59 (+6.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −130 622 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

14 155.53 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

62 120.47 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0112
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

54 345.85 ₸

at 18 115.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 18 526.62 ₸ +411.33 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 29 914.45 ₸ +11 799.16 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1156

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130 621.85 ₸ +25 265.88 (+19.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

142 591.81 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 208.99 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 244.86 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

483 692.73 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11 755.47 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25 095.87 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387655 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 29 862.52₸ · invest 80 819.35₸
profit on prices without salesat least −80 819 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.075833; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.005104
Craft 3387678 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 28 684.44₸ · invest 88 571.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 998 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.075833; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.005104

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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