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The Falchion Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +2 858.01₽

Invest 22 789.84₽

Average return 25 647.85₽

ROI +12.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 52 988.25 ₽, profit at most −27 340.40 ₽

float premium: at least 28 358 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 575 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −356.59 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6 292.55 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0239

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

8 836.60 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

7 660.69 ₽

at 7 660.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) — 8 293.36 ₽ +632.67 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.1500–0.1502
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) — 19 469.51 ₽ +11 808.82 ₽ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0700–0.1365

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 789.84 ₽ +2 858.01 (+12.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 354.50 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 374.57 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

95 403.03 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 604.11 ₽ 5.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −960.04 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 516.92 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build