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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −102.87$

Invest at least 280.88$

Average return 178.01$

ROI −36.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 280.88 $, profit at most −102.87 $

float premium: at least 154 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

72.12 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0240

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

21.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0014
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

21.56 $

at 21.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) — 47.53 $ +25.97 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.0939

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115.68 $ +62.33 (+53.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

45.08 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0250

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

43.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0023
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

64.69 $

at 21.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) — 47.53 $ +25.97 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.0979

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.76 $ +54.20 (+35.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

65.98 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0021
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

150.95 $

at 21.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) — 47.53 $ +25.97 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.0971

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.94 $ +50.92 (+23.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

43.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0021
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

150.95 $

at 21.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) — 47.53 $ +25.97 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.0969

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

44.79 $

at 44.79

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) — 87.63 $ +42.83 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 239.73 $ +43.10 (+18.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

21.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

150.95 $

at 21.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) — 47.53 $ +25.97 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.0967

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

89.58 $

at 44.79

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) — 87.63 $ +42.83 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.53 $ +35.27 (+13.4%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220.44 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.53 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

359.70 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +33.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +54.85 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379243 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 58.00$ · invest 108.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) instead of Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075770 instead of 0.075185; CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New): float at most 0.005049 instead of 0.004536
Craft 3387022 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 56.79$ · invest 108.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −37 $ rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3387098 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 56.50$ · invest 128.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.075185; CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New): float at most 0.003999 instead of 0.004536

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build