The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

81.14 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

13.01 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0914
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.14 $ +62.86 (+66.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0801

72.12 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0801
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0256

Steam

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

26.02 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0997
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1177

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.14 $ +52.84 (+53.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

4.83 $

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5.11 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1712
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +21.98 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0547

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

54.09 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0773
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0247

Steam

×3

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

39.03 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0944
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1129

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.95 $ +47.01 (+48.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

14.49 $

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5.11 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +21.98 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0541

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

9.02 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

78.05 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0929
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1116

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.56 $ +25.32 (+24.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

9.66 $

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5.11 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1672
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +21.98 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

19.88 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.01 $ +3.07 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0390
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.91 $ +22.97 $ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1781

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

78.05 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0917
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1105

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.59 $ +7.24 (+6.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220.44 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.53 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

111.18 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

125.21 $ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +38.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +57.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380477 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 64.22$ · invest 101.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −22 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.075874
Craft 3387170 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 63.76$ · invest 117.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 3376737 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 60.48$ · invest 109.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New)
Craft 3387599 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 60.05$ · invest 101.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.075874
Craft 3387573 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 59.36$ · invest 106.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −41 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 3387677 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 58.40$ · invest 110.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build

What you get 4 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build