The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

42.33 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 48.07 ₴ +5.74 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2235
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 82.50 ₴ +40.17 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0982
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 121.73 ₴ +79.40 ₴ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0818

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

384.59 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0232
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0279
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

60.94 ₴

at 60.94

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 91.46 ₴ +30.52 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0700–0.1015
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 151.55 ₴ +90.61 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1473
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 259.80 ₴ +198.86 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1473

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 487.86 ₴ +496.96 (+101.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −390 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

48.07 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0323
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0388
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0336

Steam

×8

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

925.96 ₴

at 115.74

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 151.55 ₴ +35.80 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +128.60 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0483
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 259.80 ₴ +144.06 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.0702

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

244.34 ₴

at 244.34

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 292.13 ₴ +47.79 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 334.84 ₴ +90.50 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0112
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 197.19 ₴ +952.85 ₴ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 218.37 ₴ +29.36 (+2.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −112 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

192.29 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0251
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0301
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0261

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

91.46 ₴

at 91.46

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 115.74 ₴ +24.29 ₴ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.0700–0.1216
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 151.55 ₴ +60.09 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1095
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 259.80 ₴ +168.35 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1095

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

578.72 ₴

at 115.74

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +128.60 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0467
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 292.13 ₴ +176.39 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0678
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 197.19 ₴ +1 081.45 ₴ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0678

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 862.48 ₴ +286.66 (+33.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −220 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

96.15 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0245
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0294
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0255

Steam

×8

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

925.96 ₴

at 115.74

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +128.60 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0466
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 292.13 ₴ +176.39 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0677
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 197.19 ₴ +1 081.45 ₴ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0677

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 022.11 ₴ +192.76 (+18.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

240.37 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0236
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0283
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

60.94 ₴

at 60.94

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 91.46 ₴ +30.52 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0700–0.1017
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 151.55 ₴ +90.61 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1476
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 259.80 ₴ +198.86 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1476

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

462.98 ₴

at 115.74

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +128.60 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0464
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 292.13 ₴ +176.39 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0674
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 197.19 ₴ +1 081.45 ₴ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0674

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 764.28 ₴ +351.99 (+46.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

992.81 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

1 063.84 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 227.60 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079499

1 554.51 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 471.31 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

1 392.23 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +350.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +449.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3376728 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 514.11₴ · invest 535.75₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 3367674 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 508.03₴ · invest 495.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 3381488 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 503.22₴ · invest 533.10₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 3387587 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 475.73₴ · invest 491.27₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 3387646 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 472.61₴ · invest 496.55₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 3383435 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 463.45₴ · invest 453.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162724 instead of 0.163747; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162724 instead of 0.163747

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build