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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −383.23₽

Invest at least 983.38₽

Average return 600.15₽

ROI −39.0%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 983.38 ₽, profit at most −383.23 ₽

float premium: at least 537 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +250.96 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

251.80 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0031
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

115.60 ₽

at 23.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 32.09 ₽ +8.97 ₽ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.1657
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 47.38 ₽ +24.26 ₽ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.1237
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +61.94 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.1425

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

47.38 ₽

at 47.38

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 67.39 ₽ +20.01 ₽ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1011
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +37.68 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0869
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.26 ₽ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1011

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 414.78 ₽ +185.37 (+44.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

62.95 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0106
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

426.42 ₽

at 47.38

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 67.39 ₽ +20.01 ₽ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1051
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +37.68 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0904
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.26 ₽ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 489.37 ₽ +250.96 (+51.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

188.85 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

69.36 ₽

at 23.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 32.09 ₽ +8.97 ₽ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.1714
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 47.38 ₽ +24.26 ₽ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.1280
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +61.94 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.1474

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

189.52 ₽

at 47.38

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 67.39 ₽ +20.01 ₽ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1037
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +37.68 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0892
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.26 ₽ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1037

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 447.73 ₽ +199.15 (+44.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

125.90 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

46.24 ₽

at 23.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 32.09 ₽ +8.97 ₽ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.1667
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 47.38 ₽ +24.26 ₽ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.1244
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +61.94 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.1434

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

284.28 ₽

at 47.38

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 67.39 ₽ +20.01 ₽ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1015
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +37.68 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0873
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.26 ₽ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1015

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 456.42 ₽ +237.18 (+52.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

294.42 ₽

at 49.07

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 50.89 ₽ +1.82 ₽ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 62.95 ₽ +13.88 ₽ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0528
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +93.03 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0347

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

62.95 ₽

at 62.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +56.04 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 142.10 ₽ +79.15 ₽ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0031
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +84.27 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

69.36 ₽

at 23.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 32.09 ₽ +8.97 ₽ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 47.38 ₽ +24.26 ₽ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.1238
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.06 ₽ +61.94 ₽ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.1426

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 426.73 ₽ +33.25 (+7.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 24%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

796.64 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

562.07 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 356.61 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.057446

520.11 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

144.92 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.049787

652.14 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.047872

440.40 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.188829

81.32 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +104.07 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +155.20 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build