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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −88 235.45₸

Invest at least 198 917.34₸

Average return 110 681.89₸

ROI −44.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 198 917.34 ₸, profit at most −88 235.45 ₸

float premium: at least 100 787 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 819 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

56 622.13 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

12 424.09 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

11 773.13 ₸

at 11 773.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +22 532.76 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0569
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +33 507.40 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80 819.35 ₸ +29 862.54 (+37.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 515 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

49 544.36 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

12 424.09 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

23 546.25 ₸

at 11 773.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +22 532.76 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0569
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +33 507.40 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85 514.71 ₸ +21 587.83 (+25.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −90 210 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

42 466.60 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

12 424.09 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

35 319.38 ₸

at 11 773.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +22 532.76 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0569
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +33 507.40 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90 210.07 ₸ +13 313.12 (+14.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 905 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

35 388.83 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

12 424.09 ₸

at 12 424.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 22 489.35 ₸ +10 065.25 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 34 413.36 ₸ +21 989.27 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

47 092.50 ₸

at 11 773.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +22 532.76 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0569
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +33 507.40 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94 905.43 ₸ +5 038.42 (+5.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

142 591.81 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 208.99 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

96 697.49 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

83 778.43 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10 112.04 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23 764.07 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387242 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 31 467.07₸ · invest 96 669.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −96 670 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005104 instead of 0.005219
Craft 3387678 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 28 684.44₸ · invest 88 571.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 998 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build