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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −45.10$

Invest at least 125.09$

Average return 79.99$

ROI −36.0%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 125.09 $, profit at most −45.10 $

float premium: at least 71 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +62.81 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −11.50 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

15.63 $

at 2.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +4.46 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0260
StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 8.61 $ +6.37 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) — 13.38 $ +11.15 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0434

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

13.39 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 8.61 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) — 13.38 $ +6.68 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 23.18 $ +16.48 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

25.76 $

at 25.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1621
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) — 32.21 $ +6.45 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.78 $ +25.21 (+46.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

6.70 $

at 2.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +4.46 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0278
StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 8.61 $ +6.37 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0232
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) — 13.38 $ +11.15 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0464

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

33.48 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 8.61 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) — 13.38 $ +6.68 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 23.18 $ +16.48 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0036

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

51.51 $

at 25.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1637
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) — 32.21 $ +6.45 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.70 $ +33.12 (+36.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

26.79 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 8.61 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) — 13.38 $ +6.68 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 23.18 $ +16.48 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0035

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

96.62 $

at 32.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 13 · buy 0.1500–0.1506
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1506

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

138.03 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0623

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 261.43 $ +42.70 (+16.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

4.47 $

at 2.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +4.46 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0274
StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 8.61 $ +6.37 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0229
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) — 13.38 $ +11.15 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0458

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

64.41 $

at 32.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 13 · buy 0.1500–0.1503
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1503

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

276.05 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0623

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 344.93 $ +48.86 (+14.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

20.09 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 8.61 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0031
StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) — 13.38 $ +6.68 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 23.18 $ +16.48 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

96.62 $

at 32.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +13.80 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0700–0.1483
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +18.45 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1483

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

184.03 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0623

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 300.74 $ +48.21 (+16.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

31.38 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.014545

26.46 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

63.47 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

267.51 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.25 $ 5.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.73 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build