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The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.96₴

Invest 48.02₴

Average return 50.99₴

ROI +6.2%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 117.64 ₴, profit at most −66.64 ₴

float premium: at least 62 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.90 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

3.95 ₴

at 3.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Well-Worn) — 4.12 ₴ +0.17 ₴ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.3800–0.3848
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 4.43 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 513 · buy 0.3800–0.3848
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.97 ₴ +1.02 ₴ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.3463

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

34.41 ₴

at 4.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 5.46 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.62 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 9.16 ₴ +4.24 ₴ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1492

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

9.66 ₴

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 5.38 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 5.46 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 6.06 ₴ +1.22 ₴ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1658

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.02 ₴ +2.96 (+6.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

34.41 ₴

at 4.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.97 ₴ +0.05 ₴ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.1564
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 5.46 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1738
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.62 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1738

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

13.45 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) — 4.56 ₴ +0.07 ₴ per item · on the market 766 · buy 0.1500–0.1540
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) — 4.83 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 703 · buy 0.1500–0.2200
StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 5.38 ₴ +0.90 ₴ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.2200

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.86 ₴ +0.11 (+0.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

3.95 ₴

at 3.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Well-Worn) — 4.12 ₴ +0.17 ₴ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.3800–0.3848
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 4.43 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 513 · buy 0.3800–0.3848
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.97 ₴ +1.02 ₴ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.3463

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

39.33 ₴

at 4.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 5.46 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.62 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 9.16 ₴ +4.24 ₴ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1492

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

4.83 ₴

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 5.38 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 5.46 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 6.06 ₴ +1.22 ₴ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1658

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.11 ₴ +5.90 (+12.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107009

93.37 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

79.48 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

37.82 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178452

36.35 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131415

80.89 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.150188

29.54 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

30.42 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

36.76 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

float up to 0.150188

26.53 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

31.00 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.85 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build