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The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +133.40₽

Invest 3 535.52₽

Average return 3 668.92₽

ROI +3.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest 4 023.06 ₽, profit −354.14 ₽

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

3 080.43 ₽

at 342.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 378.67 ₽ +36.40 ₽ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–0.9999
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 393.58 ₽ +51.31 ₽ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.7999

455.09 ₽

at 455.09

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred) — 483.30 ₽ +28.21 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.4500–0.9999
XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) — 517.00 ₽ +61.91 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.4500–0.6499

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 535.52 ₽ +133.40 (+3.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

4 021.84 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

4 255.99 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.699999

5 313.32 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | The Emperor

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 571.41 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −351.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11.29 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388464 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 131.70₽ · invest 3 926.67₽
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) instead of R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.541018 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3387764 · The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 129.57₽ · invest 3 391.43₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Well-Worn) instead of R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.624894 instead of 0.999999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build