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The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.12$

Invest 1.18$

Average return 1.30$

ROI +10.1%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 2.85 $, profit at most −1.55 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.17 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.76 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.20 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1494

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

0.20 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.45 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.22 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.18 $ +0.12 (+10.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.87 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.20 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1494

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

0.20 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.45 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.11 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.18 $ +0.17 (+14.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.65 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.20 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1494

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

0.20 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.45 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.33 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.18 $ +0.07 (+6.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.54 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.20 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1494

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

0.20 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.45 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.44 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.18 $ +0.03 (+2.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 4%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089947

2.06 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126084

1.75 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157803

0.83 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.56 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110462

1.78 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157803

0.86 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102572

1.04 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110462

1.27 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157803

0.81 $ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110462

1.40 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.07 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build