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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +1 408.06₸

Invest 42 786.49₸

Average return 44 194.55₸

ROI +3.3%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest 44 235.94 ₸, profit −41.39 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +13 630.54 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈40

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

any lot

38 521.81 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 3 557.13 ₸ cheaper by 723.07 ₸ · on the market 107 · buy 0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 3 593.69 ₸ cheaper by 686.51 ₸ · on the market 83 · buy 0.4500–1.0000

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

any lot

4 264.68 ₸

at 4 264.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Well-Worn) — 2 328.31 ₸ cheaper by 1 936.37 ₸ · on the market 16 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) — 4 663.47 ₸ +398.79 ₸ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.4500–0.7700

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 786.49 ₸ +1 408.06 (+3.3%)

≈100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈39

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1499

34 241.61 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.1499
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.1499

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1499

8 529.36 ₸

at 4 264.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 3 920.27 ₸ cheaper by 344.41 ₸ · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1049
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 9 055.03 ₸ +4 790.35 ₸ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1154

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 770.96 ₸ +152.86 (+0.4%)

≈81% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈32

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1438

38 521.81 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.1438
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.1438

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1438

3 920.27 ₸

at 3 920.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) — 2 320.26 ₸ cheaper by 1 600.01 ₸ · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.2054
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) — 4 972.84 ₸ +1 052.57 ₸ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.1500–0.1582

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 442.08 ₸ +1 752.47 (+4.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

14 059.53 ₸

at 2 811.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 4 081.11 ₸ +1 269.21 ₸ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 4 217.94 ₸ +1 406.04 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 560.40 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

6 960.79 ₸

at 2 320.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 3 920.27 ₸ +1 600.01 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1178
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 9 055.03 ₸ +6 734.76 ₸ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1296

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 580.72 ₸ +12 072.43 (+40.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

11 247.63 ₸

at 2 811.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 4 081.11 ₸ +1 269.21 ₸ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 4 217.94 ₸ +1 406.04 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 560.40 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

9 281.05 ₸

at 2 320.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 3 920.27 ₸ +1 600.01 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1178
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 9 055.03 ₸ +6 734.76 ₸ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1296

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 089.08 ₸ +11 293.35 (+38.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

75 586.68 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

28 983.41 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.105000

14 226.62 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127500

61 117.22 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 040.84 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −801.69 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388218 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 310.25₸ · invest 44 121.10₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.142775 instead of 0.150000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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