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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +53.76₸

Invest 597.04₸

Average return 650.80₸

ROI +9.0%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 1 496.81 ₸, profit at most −846.01 ₸

float premium: at least 807 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

440.86 ₸

at 48.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 65.91 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 91.28 ₸ +42.29 ₸ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1492

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

156.18 ₸

at 156.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) — 157.36 ₸ +1.18 ₸ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.1500–0.3078
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) — 179.97 ₸ +23.79 ₸ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1500–0.1924
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +63.83 ₸ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.1500–0.1924

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 597.04 ₸ +53.76 (+9.0%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1787

391.88 ₸

at 48.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 49.49 ₸ +0.51 ₸ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.1609
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1787
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 65.91 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1787

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1787

314.71 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2234
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1117
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2234

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 706.59 ₸ +26.77 (+3.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

342.89 ₸

at 48.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 49.49 ₸ +0.51 ₸ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.1571
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +5.46 ₸ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1746
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 65.91 ₸ +16.93 ₸ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1746

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

472.07 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2182
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1091
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2182

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 814.96 ₸ +1.01 (+0.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107009

930.31 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

791.96 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

376.80 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178452

362.18 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131415

805.96 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168962

2 191.53 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

1 304.08 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116396

1 677.17 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168962

1 240.02 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −38.64 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +32.56 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387962 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 58.66₸ · invest 606.48₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.180020 instead of 0.165837
Craft 3388422 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 54.16₸ · invest 601.87₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)
Craft 3388481 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 53.31₸ · invest 597.04₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170668 instead of 0.165837

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build