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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices updated 24.10 13:23 MSK

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The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −79.44$

Invest at least 192.26$

Average return 112.82$

ROI −41.3%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 192.26 $, profit at most −79.44 $

float premium: at least 111 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +40.71 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

43.48 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1708
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1708

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

18.91 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.13 $ +8.67 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0772
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.55 $ +10.10 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0772

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

18.33 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1708
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0959
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0959

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.72 $ +32.10 (+39.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −161 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

6.21 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1694
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1694

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

165.00 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1694
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0954
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0954

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 171.21 $ +40.71 (+23.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −54 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

31.06 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1679
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1679

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

9.45 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.13 $ +8.67 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.55 $ +10.10 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0762

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

73.33 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1679
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0950
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0950

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.84 $ +36.14 (+31.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −139 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

12.42 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1677
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1677

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

146.67 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1677
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0949
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0949

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.09 $ +40.44 (+25.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −117 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

18.63 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1659

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

128.33 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0943
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0943

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.97 $ +40.18 (+27.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

166.97 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

392.55 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085999

123.35 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.81 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387809 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 31.04$ · invest 71.31$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.170822; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.077242
Craft 3383498 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 29.52$ · invest 70.21$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.170822; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.077242
Craft 3387919 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 29.36$ · invest 73.28$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162182 instead of 0.170822; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074237 instead of 0.077242
Craft 3388408 · The Fever Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 29.15$ · invest 79.96$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.170822; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.077242

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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