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The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −57.04$

Invest at least 160.57$

Average return 103.53$

ROI −35.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 160.57 $, profit at most −57.04 $

float premium: at least 92 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +38.12 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

29.93 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11.71 $ +4.23 $ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 14.02 $ +6.54 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

19.88 $

at 4.97

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 9.68 $ +4.70 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1309
AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 12.86 $ +7.89 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1473

Steam

×2

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

19.35 $

at 9.68

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.0700–0.0934
AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 12.86 $ +3.18 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.16 $ +34.37 (+49.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

16.90 $

at 4.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 409 · buy 0.0700–0.1144
Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 6.41 $ +2.18 $ per item · on the market 530 · buy 0.0700–0.1176

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

37.41 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11.71 $ +4.23 $ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0110
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 14.02 $ +6.54 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0107

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

4.97 $

at 4.97

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 6.95 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 412 · buy 0.1500–0.1567
P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 9.68 $ +4.70 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1393

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.29 $ +9.27 (+15.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×3

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

22.45 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11.71 $ +4.23 $ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0106
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 14.02 $ +6.54 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

14.91 $

at 4.97

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 6.95 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 412 · buy 0.1500–0.1559
P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 9.68 $ +4.70 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1386

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

39.62 $

at 9.91

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 12.86 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0703
P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) — 19.91 $ +10.01 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0624

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.98 $ +33.54 (+43.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

12.68 $

at 4.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 409 · buy 0.0700–0.1132
Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 6.41 $ +2.18 $ per item · on the market 530 · buy 0.0700–0.1163

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

37.41 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11.71 $ +4.23 $ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0099
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 14.02 $ +6.54 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

9.94 $

at 4.97

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 6.95 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 412 · buy 0.1500–0.1545
P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 9.68 $ +4.70 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.03 $ +15.52 (+25.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

8.45 $

at 4.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 409 · buy 0.0700–0.1121
Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 6.41 $ +2.18 $ per item · on the market 530 · buy 0.0700–0.1151

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

37.41 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11.71 $ +4.23 $ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 14.02 $ +6.54 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1695

14.91 $

at 4.97

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 6.95 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 412 · buy 0.1500–0.1525
P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 9.68 $ +4.70 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1356

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.78 $ +21.77 (+35.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

float up to 0.063918

131.12 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Factory New

float up to 0.052265

171.34 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

56.96 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84.64 $ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.41 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27.07 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377673 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 37.41$ · invest 78.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161950 instead of 0.163690; P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.074761
Craft 3389980 · The Gallery Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 35.17$ · invest 79.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162083 instead of 0.163690; P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074202 instead of 0.074761
Craft 3389500 · The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 31.30$ · invest 91.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −14 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear), Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested); P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074761

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build