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The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −12 037.35₴

Invest at least 22 406.41₴

Average return 10 369.07₴

ROI −53.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 22 406.41 ₴, profit at most −12 037.35 ₴

float premium: at least 12 311 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 160 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

1 384.44 ₴

at 1 384.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 1 645.99 ₴ +261.55 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0786
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 1 907.59 ₴ +523.14 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0786

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

6 095.99 ₴

at 762.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 1 962.13 ₴ +1 200.13 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0688
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 3 119.79 ₴ +2 357.79 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0983

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

1 679.35 ₴

at 1 679.35

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 1 962.13 ₴ +282.78 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 6 053.26 ₴ +4 373.91 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 159.79 ₴ +1 209.28 (+13.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 782 ₴

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

2 768.89 ₴

at 1 384.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 1 645.99 ₴ +261.55 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0803
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 1 907.59 ₴ +523.14 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0803

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

5 333.99 ₴

at 762.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 720.75 ₴ cheaper by 41.24 ₴ · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0703
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 3 119.79 ₴ +2 357.79 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.1004

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

1 679.35 ₴

at 1 679.35

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 1 962.13 ₴ +282.78 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 6 053.26 ₴ +4 373.91 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 782.23 ₴ +387.17 (+4.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 487 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

4 153.33 ₴

at 1 384.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 1 645.99 ₴ +261.55 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 1 907.59 ₴ +523.14 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

5 333.99 ₴

at 762.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 1 962.13 ₴ +1 200.13 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0651
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 3 119.79 ₴ +2 357.79 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0930

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 487.33 ₴ +482.40 (+5.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 487.04 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

5 821.05 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

10 560.59 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

9 155.12 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +550.26 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 045.72 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3394183 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 342.45₴ · invest 8 956.95₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 957 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build