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The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −178.64$

Invest at least 348.85$

Average return 170.21$

ROI −51.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 348.85 $, profit at most −178.64 $

float premium: at least 171 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +41.81 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

28.55 $

at 9.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +6.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1420
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 28.39 $ +18.87 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.2028

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

79.32 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) — 16.77 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0848
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +52.80 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.1061

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1732
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1154

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.87 $ +22.34 (+15.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −162 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

36.96 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

140.02 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1804
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1208

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

89.55 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0926
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0547

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.53 $ +0.04 (+0.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

38.07 $

at 9.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +6.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1466
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 28.39 $ +18.87 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.2095

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

83.86 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0666
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0951

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1782
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1191

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.93 $ +14.52 (+10.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −131 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

73.92 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

160.02 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1779
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1189

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.94 $ +18.86 (+8.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

9.52 $

at 9.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +6.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1444
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 28.39 $ +18.87 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.2063

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

67.08 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0658
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0940

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

100.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1759
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1174

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.61 $ +34.89 (+19.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

200.05 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

128.12 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

244.69 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

400.08 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.53 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build