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The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +4.99$

Invest 58.84$

Average return 63.83$

ROI +8.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 150.85 $, profit at most −87.02 $

float premium: at least 77 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

8.33 $

at 8.33

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 25.76 $ +17.43 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.0984
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 38.47 $ +30.14 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0689

Steam

×9

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

50.52 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 7.53 $ +1.92 $ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 7.76 $ +2.15 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0875

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.84 $ +4.99 (+8.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

16.65 $

at 8.33

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 25.76 $ +17.43 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.0972
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 38.47 $ +30.14 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0680

Steam

×8

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

44.90 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 7.53 $ +1.92 $ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0864
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 7.76 $ +2.15 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0864

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.56 $ +1.79 (+2.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87.39 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | The Traitor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088607

60.53 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070885

79.29 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088607

57.61 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384248 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.26$ · invest 57.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3400365 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.98$ · invest 67.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075182 instead of 0.078762

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build