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The Lake Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −7.48₴

Invest 27.33₴

Average return 19.85₴

ROI −27.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest 27.33 ₴, profit −7.48 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.85 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈415

×6

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Battle-Scarred

any lot

11.51 ₴

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested) — 1.94 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 921 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
XM1014 | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) — 2.81 ₴ +0.89 ₴ per item · on the market 317 · buy 0.4500–1.0000
Desert Eagle | Mudder (Well-Worn) — 4.74 ₴ +2.82 ₴ per item · on the market 732 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Field-Tested

any lot

5.81 ₴

at 1.94

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Battle-Scarred) — 1.92 ₴ cheaper by 0.02 ₴ · on the market 415 · buy 0.4500–0.8000
XM1014 | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) — 2.81 ₴ +0.87 ₴ per item · on the market 317 · buy 0.4500–1.0000
Desert Eagle | Mudder (Well-Worn) — 4.74 ₴ +2.81 ₴ per item · on the market 732 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×1

P90 | Wash me

Well-Worn

any lot

1.92 ₴

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Wall Bang (Well-Worn) — 1.73 ₴ cheaper by 0.19 ₴ · on the market 1 338 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Field-Tested) — 1.83 ₴ cheaper by 0.09 ₴ · on the market 6 714 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) — 2.07 ₴ +0.15 ₴ per item · on the market 1 406 · buy 0.4500–0.9000

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.24 ₴ +0.61 (+3.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown

×9

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.7635

17.27 ₴

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested) — 1.94 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 921 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
XM1014 | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) — 2.81 ₴ +0.89 ₴ per item · on the market 317 · buy 0.4500–0.9508
Desert Eagle | Mudder (Well-Worn) — 4.74 ₴ +2.82 ₴ per item · on the market 732 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×1

Negev | Wall Bang

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4427

1.73 ₴

at 1.73

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Field-Tested) — 1.82 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 5 318 · buy 0.1500–0.2213
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Field-Tested) — 1.83 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 6 714 · buy 0.1500–0.2213
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) — 2.07 ₴ +0.34 ₴ per item · on the market 1 406 · buy 0.4500–0.5099

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.00 ₴ +0.85 (+4.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

P90 | Teardown

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.528000

6.41 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070400

57.09 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Night Ops

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.528000

9.09 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.528000

9.36 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Well-Worn

float up to 0.440000

9.97 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.792000

11.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.880000

11.20 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Lake Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.08 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Lake Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Lake Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build