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Crafts · The Operation Broken Fang Collection

prices updated 24.10 13:23 MSK

$≈

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +17.17$

Invest at least 250.47$

Average return 267.64$

ROI +6.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 250.47 $, profit at most +17.17 $

float premium: at least 145 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −101 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

34.78 $

at 34.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.02 $ +5.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2326
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +6.14 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2289

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

66.67 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2782
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0988

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.45 $ +166.19 (+163.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −374 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

80.03 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1675
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1173

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

244.08 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0873
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2580

49.47 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0639
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1474

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 373.58 $ +55.87 (+15.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −438 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

40.02 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1670
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1169

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

366.11 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0871
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

7.41 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2756
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0942

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2577

24.74 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0634
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1472

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 438.27 $ +23.54 (+5.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −139 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

80.03 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1666
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1166

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

59.26 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2752
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0935

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.29 $ +160.71 (+115.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −248 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

122.77 $

at 40.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.02 $ cheaper by 0.91 $ · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.1585
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +25.16 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1132

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

61.02 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0867
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2741
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0917

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2570

49.47 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0620
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1464

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.08 $ +116.65 (+47.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

87.20 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

453.95 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 068.46 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +146.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +159.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395970 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 169.23$ · invest 93.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −93 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161968 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3394396 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.43$ · invest 111.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173170 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3393889 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.33$ · invest 76.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167782 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3387361 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 159.75$ · invest 77.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −77 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3398216 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 157.92$ · invest 78.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −78 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3396468 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.49$ · invest 85.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −85 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3389852 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.34$ · invest 75.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3379811 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 156.76$ · invest 81.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −82 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3398089 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 155.85$ · invest 75.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3380976 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 155.66$ · invest 79.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167723 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3398136 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 155.41$ · invest 84.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3391887 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.75$ · invest 75.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3390649 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.53$ · invest 77.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3397626 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.36$ · invest 75.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.166211

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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