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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −12 579.23₽

Invest at least 59 611.51₽

Average return 47 032.29₽

ROI −21.1%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 59 611.51 ₽, profit at most −12 579.23 ₽

float premium: at least 19 621 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −8 690.60 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

3 221.11 ₽

at 3 221.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 3 294.25 ₽ +73.14 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1656
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 5 319.14 ₽ +2 098.03 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1158

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

20 020.50 ₽

at 2 224.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 3 553.29 ₽ +1 328.79 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 3 972.63 ₽ +1 748.13 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1039
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 5 555.25 ₽ +3 330.75 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1039

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 241.61 ₽ +23 790.68 (+102.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 044 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

14 735.31 ₽

at 4 911.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 6 621.06 ₽ +1 709.29 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0882
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 13 335.78 ₽ +8 424.01 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0543

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

15 571.50 ₽

at 2 224.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 3 553.29 ₽ +1 328.79 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 3 972.63 ₽ +1 748.13 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1093
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 5 555.25 ₽ +3 330.75 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 306.81 ₽ +16 271.47 (+53.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 340 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

19 647.08 ₽

at 4 911.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 6 621.06 ₽ +1 709.29 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0879
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 13 335.78 ₽ +8 424.01 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0540

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

13 347.00 ₽

at 2 224.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 3 553.29 ₽ +1 328.79 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 3 972.63 ₽ +1 748.13 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1082
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 5 555.25 ₽ +3 330.75 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 994.08 ₽ +13 357.20 (+40.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 636 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

24 558.85 ₽

at 4 911.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 6 621.06 ₽ +1 709.29 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 13 335.78 ₽ +8 424.01 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

11 122.50 ₽

at 2 224.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 3 553.29 ₽ +1 328.79 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 3 972.63 ₽ +1 748.13 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 5 555.25 ₽ +3 330.75 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 681.35 ₽ +10 442.93 (+29.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 932 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

29 470.62 ₽

at 4 911.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 6 621.06 ₽ +1 709.29 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0869
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 13 335.78 ₽ +8 424.01 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

8 898.00 ₽

at 2 224.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 3 553.29 ₽ +1 328.79 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 3 972.63 ₽ +1 748.13 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1050
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 5 555.25 ₽ +3 330.75 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38 368.62 ₽ +7 528.66 (+19.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 653.69 ₽ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

25 688.66 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 469.09 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

86 006.25 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19 515.12 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23 614.80 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400316 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 25 684.48₽ · invest 21 435.24₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074252
Craft 3396720 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 23 511.72₽ · invest 21 496.71₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074252

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build