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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −105 054.14₸

Invest at least 200 527.36₸

Average return 95 473.22₸

ROI −52.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 200 527.36 ₸, profit at most −105 054.14 ₸

float premium: at least 106 403 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +14 981.52 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 557 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

28 468.53 ₸

at 7 117.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 9 893.38 ₸ +2 776.25 ₸ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0366
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32 957.83 ₸ +25 840.70 ₸ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1733

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

9 893.38 ₸

at 9 893.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 10 518.20 ₸ +624.82 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0800–0.0880
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 195 264.43 ₸ +185 371.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.1000–0.1072

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

45 275.13 ₸

at 9 055.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸ +7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1728
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸ +14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1151

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83 637.05 ₸ +11 836.17 (+14.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 353 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

29 680.15 ₸

at 9 893.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 10 518.20 ₸ +624.82 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0800–0.0946
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 195 264.43 ₸ +185 371.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.1000–0.1131

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

63 385.18 ₸

at 9 055.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸ +7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1820
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸ +14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1219

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93 065.33 ₸ +14 981.52 (+16.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 455 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

14 234.27 ₸

at 7 117.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 9 893.38 ₸ +2 776.25 ₸ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0386
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32 957.83 ₸ +25 840.70 ₸ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1773

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

19 786.77 ₸

at 9 893.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 10 518.20 ₸ +624.82 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0800–0.0911
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 195 264.43 ₸ +185 371.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.1000–0.1099

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

54 330.16 ₸

at 9 055.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸ +7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1771
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸ +14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1182

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 88 351.19 ₸ +13 408.84 (+15.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 435 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

35 585.67 ₸

at 7 117.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 9 893.38 ₸ +2 776.25 ₸ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0386
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32 957.83 ₸ +25 840.70 ₸ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1773

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

9 893.38 ₸

at 9 893.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 10 518.20 ₸ +624.82 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0800–0.0910
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 195 264.43 ₸ +185 371.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.1000–0.1099

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

36 220.10 ₸

at 9 055.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸ +7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1770
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸ +14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1182

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 81 699.16 ₸ +7 487.24 (+9.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 415 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

56 937.07 ₸

at 7 117.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 9 893.38 ₸ +2 776.25 ₸ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0386
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32 957.83 ₸ +25 840.70 ₸ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1772

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

18 110.05 ₸

at 9 055.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸ +7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1770
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸ +14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1182

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75 047.12 ₸ +1 565.64 (+2.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 25%
About break-even 25%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 952.17 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.294799

93 337.81 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

110 769.90 ₸ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

181 116.94 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 453.33 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 695.37 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build