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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +26.97$

Invest 100.16$

Average return 127.13$

ROI +26.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 247.21 $, profit at most −120.08 $

float premium: at least 143 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +4.14 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

71.22 $

at 11.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +3.76 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1048
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 28.90 $ +17.03 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 38.64 $ +26.76 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1000–0.1087

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

28.94 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.16 $ +26.97 (+26.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −103 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

106.84 $

at 11.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +3.76 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1063
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 28.90 $ +17.03 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0126
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 38.64 $ +26.76 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1000–0.1114

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

7.23 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.07 $ +7.86 (+6.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

94.97 $

at 11.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +3.76 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1058
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 28.90 $ +17.03 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0117
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 38.64 $ +26.76 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1000–0.1106

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

14.47 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.44 $ +14.23 (+13.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −83 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

83.09 $

at 11.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +3.76 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1053
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 28.90 $ +17.03 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 38.64 $ +26.76 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1000–0.1097

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

21.70 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.80 $ +20.60 (+19.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.108108

369.74 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

21.71 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089053

23.23 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140.05 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

158.17 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

71.85 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

233.00 $ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3391581 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 27.47$ · invest 68.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074218
Craft 3400719 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 27.33$ · invest 54.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074749 instead of 0.074218
Craft 3394651 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 26.30$ · invest 93.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074218
Craft 3401037 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 26.25$ · invest 76.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −54 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074375 instead of 0.074218

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build