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The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −41.64$

Invest at least 89.71$

Average return 48.07$

ROI −46.4%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 89.71 $, profit at most −41.64 $

float premium: at least 49 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +70.92 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈23, цена занижена

×9

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

12.89 $

at 1.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 710 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 1.73 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 661 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 3.35 $ +1.92 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

25.84 $

at 25.84

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 28.10 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0790
P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 67.21 $ +41.37 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0600–0.0630

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.73 $ +9.34 (+24.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈22, цена занижена

×8

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

11.46 $

at 1.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 710 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 1.73 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 661 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 3.35 $ +1.92 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

51.68 $

at 25.84

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 28.10 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0780
P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 67.21 $ +41.37 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0600–0.0629

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.13 $ +21.65 (+34.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈19, цена занижена

×7

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

10.02 $

at 1.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 710 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 1.73 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 661 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 3.35 $ +1.92 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

77.52 $

at 25.84

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 28.10 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 67.21 $ +41.37 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0600–0.0627

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.54 $ +33.97 (+38.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈16, цена занижена

×6

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

8.59 $

at 1.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 710 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 1.73 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 661 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 3.35 $ +1.92 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

103.36 $

at 25.84

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 28.10 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 67.21 $ +41.37 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0600–0.0625

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.95 $ +46.29 (+41.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈14, цена занижена

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

7.16 $

at 1.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 710 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 1.73 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 661 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 3.35 $ +1.92 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

129.20 $

at 25.84

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 28.10 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 67.21 $ +41.37 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0600–0.0624

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 136.36 $ +58.60 (+43.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.010405

15.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

8.94 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

14.57 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

500.34 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

370.37 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.81 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build