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The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −527.82₴

Invest at least 1 157.59₴

Average return 629.78₴

ROI −45.6%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 1 157.59 ₴, profit at most −527.82 ₴

float premium: at least 673 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈13, цена занижена

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

305.71 ₴

at 33.97

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 37.94 ₴ +3.97 ₴ per item · on the market 379 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 38.78 ₴ +4.81 ₴ per item · on the market 3 898 · buy 0.0000–0.0004

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0854

163.69 ₴

at 163.69

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 214.75 ₴ +51.06 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 458.16 ₴ +294.48 ₴ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1020
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 543.77 ₴ +380.08 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 469.40 ₴ +160.38 (+34.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 085 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

33.97 ₴

at 33.97

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 37.94 ₴ +3.97 ₴ per item · on the market 379 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 38.78 ₴ +4.81 ₴ per item · on the market 3 898 · buy 0.0000–0.0004

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0856

1 473.20 ₴

at 163.69

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 214.75 ₴ +51.06 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 458.16 ₴ +294.48 ₴ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1021
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 543.77 ₴ +380.08 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0134

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 507.17 ₴ +155.44 (+10.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −946 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

67.94 ₴

at 33.97

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 37.94 ₴ +3.97 ₴ per item · on the market 379 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 38.78 ₴ +4.81 ₴ per item · on the market 3 898 · buy 0.0000–0.0004

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0856

1 309.51 ₴

at 163.69

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 214.75 ₴ +51.06 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 458.16 ₴ +294.48 ₴ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1021
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 543.77 ₴ +380.08 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 377.45 ₴ +156.06 (+11.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −808 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14, цена занижена

×3

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

101.90 ₴

at 33.97

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 37.94 ₴ +3.97 ₴ per item · on the market 379 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 38.78 ₴ +4.81 ₴ per item · on the market 3 898 · buy 0.0000–0.0004

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0855

1 145.82 ₴

at 163.69

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 214.75 ₴ +51.06 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 458.16 ₴ +294.48 ₴ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1021
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 543.77 ₴ +380.08 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 247.73 ₴ +156.67 (+12.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −669 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14, цена занижена

×4

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

135.87 ₴

at 33.97

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 37.94 ₴ +3.97 ₴ per item · on the market 379 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 38.78 ₴ +4.81 ₴ per item · on the market 3 898 · buy 0.0000–0.0004

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0855

982.13 ₴

at 163.69

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 214.75 ₴ +51.06 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 458.16 ₴ +294.48 ₴ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1021
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 543.77 ₴ +380.08 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0132

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 118.00 ₴ +157.29 (+14.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 96%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 2%

in profit

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

575.78 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

about break-even

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

533.90 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 658.28 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

1 870.93 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

508.98 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730.25 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +47.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +104.63 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Safehouse Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build